Weekly Election Update: Bad News Boogie

  • More polls…blah blah blah…Yesh Atid winning…blah blah blah…Low numbers for Labor…blah blah blah…Zionist Union voters prefer Yair Lapid to be prime minister…blah…wait, what? Poor poor Boogie who finished 3rd amongst his own voters behind Yair Lapid and Moshe Ya’alon on the question. Neither Lapid nor Ya’alon are in the Labor party.
  • In a great sign for Yesh Atid, Labor party chairman candidate, and Donald Trump imitator Erel Margalit set his Facebook rant machine on Yair Lapid. The post accused Lapid of being in the pocket of Yediot Achronot head Nuni Moses and of being an off brand right wing politician. Businessman Margalit, echoing a certain recently elected president, said that he didn’t need anyone to pay him off, which is why he could act independently. The post finishes with an appeal to Labor voters not to leave the party for Yesh Atid. In short, Labor is in huge trouble.
  • Meanwhile, Lapid was busy brushing up on his security credentials by supporting a movement to remove United Arab List MK Basel Ghattas from the Knesset. As a counter, Herzog said that he asked the UAL to encourage Ghattas to leave. He argued that the Knesset should not remove its own. Rather, it should be up to voters to send home Herzo…err Ghattas. Herzog is likely to give his party the freedom to vote for the initiative which requires 90 signatures.
  • Lapid also pushed a bill that would allow for the deportation of families of convicted terrorists before the coalition was ready to act on a similar bill. He used his speech regarding the bill to challenge the coalition on why they couldn’t get the job done. A procedural snafu surrounding the debate producedthis epic Ayelet Shaked eye roll.
  • In Bibi scandal news, Arnon Milchan, the Hollywood producer and former intelligence agent at the center of one of the scandals said that the Netanyahus demanded the gifts that they received. Exactly what he received in exchange besides the ear of a Prime Minister is unclear. The accusation was supported by a terrific twitter tale spun by an Israeli businessman which included Sarah Netanyahu demanding a giant stuffed animal for her son and then throwing it out because it wasn’t the right size.

 

 

Totally precise and not arbitrary election date: February 6, 2018

Winner: Yesh Atid. Let’s talk coalition. In much of the analysis surrounding these polls YA is viewed as a center left party. Why? As this week showed, they certainly do not view themselves as left on security issues. Economically, they’re not particularly left or right (though in Israel the economic left and right frequently exist within the same party). This means that a Likud-YA coalition could certainly be in the works. Hypothetically, if they have 50 mandates between the two of them, any combination of Shas, UTJ, Yisrael Beitenu or Kulanu could complete a coalition. The question is if the voters coming from the Zionist Union will accept such an arrangement. Yair Lapid has the ability to make himself be what you want him to be, but follow through was unsuccessful in his first go around. If he can establish a clear message and a base though, our orange tinted friend will be around for a long time.

Runner Up: Likud

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