Weekly Election Update: The Amona Saga Threatens New Elections and Oren Hazan Threatens the Plenum

  • Former Just for Men: Touch of Gray model, Yair Lapid, received good news as polling has Yesh Atid tying the Likud for the most mandates with 25 if elections were held today. According to the poll, Yesh Atid gains 14 mandates in addition to their current 11 as the Zionist Union falls to 10 mandates losing, you guessed it, 14 mandates. Only a super expert could analyze this one. Pour out a little oil this Hannukah for the Labor party. Especially because elections may be coming earlier than they know…
  • There was additional good news for Yesh Atid as the coalition and their competitors in the opposition are dealing with internal issues. The coalition has not yet solved their Amona issue. Kulanu refuses to vote for the law while its final article stands, which undoes previous Supreme Court decisions on existing settlements (read: Amona). Bennett ominously said that “there is no coalition” if that article is dropped. Though later it was announced that he was ready to drop the article. Bibi will solve this issue right after one more post attacking a journalist. For now, the vote on the bill is expected to be held on Wednesday.
  • As a result of the dysfunction, the coalition had to pull all of its legislation last week including an important bill regarding custody battles in Israel and the Muezzin Bill. MK Bezalel Smotrich, that kid in college who promised his parents that he’d wait one year before transferring to Yeshiva University, also voted with the opposition last week as an act of revenge. Smotrich was then kicked out of a meeting at the PMs office organized to end the impasse. According to a radio interview, he drove an hour and a half to get to the meeting before being told that the office was closed. He now knows what it’s like to try to get something done at a government office in Israel.
  •  Kahlon is also under pressure because he’s pushing for a solution to high housing prices that is already leading to a rise in the price of housing (Landlords are actually putting clauses in their contracts saying that if his bill passes then the rent will rise). Meanwhile, the budget will be voted on later this month. The bill needs to pass for there to be government stability and one of the parties could use that as leverage to get what they want on the arrangement law.
  • Labor is also experiencing an internal kerfuffle. Potential party leader MK Shelly Yachimovich is considering a run for head of the Histadrut (the Israeli Labor Union umbrella organization) on January 9th. This would seem natural except that Labor has a candidate for the head of the Histadrut, Avi Nisankorn. Nisakorn served as a labor lawyer and as a negotiator of collective bargaining agreements. He is also close to Labor leader MK Yitzhak Herzog and is the current head of the Histadrut. Yachimovitch, on the other hand, was a journalist and is popular, so they are equally qualified. Yachimovitch has spoken to Likudnik Haim Katz to gain the support of his party within the Histadrut.
  • In Oren Hazan news, our friendly Clark Kent impersonator lit a lighter to make a point in the Knesset before getting it confiscated by an adult. If you click one link in this post it should be this one. Its strange that Hazan was surprised by the confiscation of the lighter as the point he was making was that lighters are dangerous weapons. Look at the featured image for this post. The sign language guy at the bottom left has a “this guy, amiright?” look.

 

Totally precise and not arbitrary election date: February 8, 2018 (I can’t see Bibi letting this one fall through the cracks).

Winner: Likud

Runner Up: Yesh Atid

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